The Deep Dive (Exclusive Podcast):
When DCF goes Rogue
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Author:
Geoff Robinson -
Level:
Intermediate to advanced -
Study time:
1-2 hours
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Course overview
In this episode of The Deep Dive Podcast, we explore what happens when Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models go off the rails. While DCF is widely used for valuing companies, it’s also dangerously sensitive to small tweaks in assumptions — from forecast growth rates to discount rates.
We unpack real-world examples of where DCF misled analysts, why the illusion of precision can mask uncertainty, and how behavioral bias creeps into even the most ‘objective’ models. Whether you're building or critiquing models, this episode gives you a toolkit for identifying flawed logic and regaining control of the valuation narrative.
We unpack real-world examples of where DCF misled analysts, why the illusion of precision can mask uncertainty, and how behavioral bias creeps into even the most ‘objective’ models. Whether you're building or critiquing models, this episode gives you a toolkit for identifying flawed logic and regaining control of the valuation narrative.
What's included?
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1 podcast
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Even the most elegant DCF can hide dangerous assumptions—this episode shows you how to catch them before the model misleads you.
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Insights from a #1 ranked data-driven analyst
Who should watch this playlist?
Perfect for analysts, investors, and finance students who rely on valuation models. If you’ve ever wondered whether your DCF is telling the truth—or just what you want to hear—this episode reveals the warning signs and equips you to challenge the numbers with confidence.
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Geoff Robinson
FCA FMVA MFM
Thought leader, instructor, writer, financial influencer, Former UBS Managing Director and 8x #1 ranked analysts EMEA Institutional Investor Survey
ABOUT Geoff
Geoff has had a varied career. He was a Managing Director within UBS Equity Research, leading their Global Fundamental Analytics franchise. During this time, he was #1, ranked 10x in the EMEA Institutional Investor Survey. Before UBS, he was a material equity investor and LBO co-investor in two market exited training consultancies. Geoff has a passion for learning and is well-known for his ability to break down complex subject matter and distil it to an audience in a digestible and engaging manner. He brings this passion to TheInvestmentAnalyst.com.
TheInvestmentAnalyst.com is a global investment education and training business founded by Geoff Robinson, formerly a 10x Number 1 ranked analyst, and UBS Managing Director. Our InsightOne App is designed for individuals to develop real-life investment analysis skills through AI-powered coaching, market simulation and interactive data tools. Our In-Person Training delivers expert-led programmes for universities, corporate teams and financial institutions worldwide.
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